Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Weak Presidents

The nuclear deal that Turkey and Brazil negotiated with Iran demonstrates what happens when the world perceives America, and its president, as weak.

Turkey and Brazil both aspire to play a larger role in world affairs. Turkey is a powerful and relatively modern Muslim nation, and under its Islamic-oriented government has changed its foreign policy course decisively in the past few years. Turkey had been a reliable ally of America and had developed an important strategic relationship with Israel, cooperating on various defense and security matters.

Turkey now sees Iran as likely to become the regionally dominant power, once it obtains nuclear weapons, so naturally wishes to develop good relations with Iran to minimize tensions with a powerful neighbor.

Brazil has a growing trading relationship with Iran and currently runs a $1 billion trade surplus, so maintaining good relations with Iran is important. Moreover, Brazil wants America's role in the world in general, and Latin America in particular, to be reduced so Brazil can be the local power of significance.

And in fairness to both nations, if America is going to allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons, why shouldn't Turkey and Brazil try to win some diplomatic points in helping Iran and securing "peace"?

Herein lies the problem with Obama's appeasement of Iran, Hugo Chavez's Venezuela, Putin's Russia, and other thuggish regimes: if America won't stand up to oppose these bad actors, other nations aren't powerful enough to do so on their own or in concert with others - so they will accommodate the thugs too in their own way.

The price America is paying for electing Barack Obama president is incalculable. The end result will either be utter appeasement of a multitude of enemies (which is well underway) or war to escape the consequences of such appeasement - a war fought from a weaker position and fewer allies scared off by previous appeasement.

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